Date: Oct. 29, 2016 – Units Risked/Win: 2.3 / 2 – Grade: win
1H Michigan -14 (-115)
I do not like the full game point spread here. Michigan is really hitting on all cylinders this year but 24 points is a lot to cover. Even against a depleted and uninspired Michigan State team…
Michigan should do well in this spot. But, I have them (full game) as -15 ATS favorites. Again, I think 24 points is just too much to cover.
With that being said we’re taking Michigan -14 for the 1st half. Michigan is averaging 28.9 points in the 1st half vs. MSU only putting up an average of 11 points.
With Michigan losing the last 7 of 8 games when these teams meet and the heartbreaking loss suffered last year in the last few seconds of the game revenge should be a big factor today. I think the Wolverines come out with the pedal to the metal and don’t let up.
ps… I took Maryland +4 last week vs. MSU and the Terrapins won outright. Not a good look for MSU.